SIP LABS.
A structured analytical system for industrial decarbonisation.
SIP Labs was founded in 2022 by three practitioners who saw the same gap from different angles: futures foresight, quantitative modelling, and strategy design were being applied in isolation. The result was investment gridlock – capital that could not move because the uncertainty was not being translated into structured decisions.
The SIP Framework was built to close that gap. It integrates qualitative scenario analysis, quantitative pathway modelling, and financially grounded strategy design into a single analytical system – one capable of producing investment-grade decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty.
THE TEAM
The SIP Framework
We transform deep uncertainty into a structured, investment-grade decision.
Qualitative foresight, quantitative modelling and strategy design in a single analytical system.
Lena-Katharina Gerdes
Co-Founder and Strategy Lead
Lena-Katharina leads the strategy design component, translating the outputs of the foresight and modelling work into decisions that hold up in the boardroom, the investment committee, and the policy brief. She is also Managing Director of Xinfinity GmbH and brings experience across industrial strategy, climate finance, and cross-border analytical collaboration
Jonathan Blanchard Smith
Co-Founder and Futures Scenarios Lead
Jonathan brings two decades of experience in geopolitical and macroeconomic foresight applied to energy transition. He leads the qualitative futures component of the SIP Framework – the scenario architecture that defines the operating environment for every analysis. His work draws on SAMI Consulting's SAFIRE scenario methodology and has been applied across energy, heavy industry, and public policy contexts in the UK, Europe, and internationally.
Dr. Christian Spindler
Co-Founder and Quantiative Pathways Lead
Christian leads the quantitative modelling component of the SIP Framework. His work translates qualitative scenario conditions into dynamic abatement curves, technology readiness trajectories, and investment pathway models. He brings rigour from academic research and as CEO of Sustainaccount GmbH applied modelling in energy systems, with particular expertise in inter-industry interdependencies and the financial valuation of innovation technologies.
WHY SIP LABS
Not advisory. Analytical.
Most organisations navigating decarbonisation receive advice – qualitative guidance based on general knowledge of the sector and the regulatory environment. SIP Labs produces something different: a structured analytical output in which every strategic recommendation is traceable back to a quantified scenario and a modelled pathway.
That distinction matters when the stakes are high. It is the difference between a recommendation and a defensible position.
FOUNDING CONTEXT
Founded in 2022. Developed since.
The SIP Framework was developed in response to a structural problem in decarbonisation investment: uncertainty was being used as a reason not to act, rather than as a condition to be modelled and managed. The original framework demonstrated that the tools existed to do better; and that combining them changed the quality of decision-making available to companies, investors, and governments.
Since 2022, the geopolitical and economic environment has shifted materially. Deep Oak conditions – fragmented multilateralism, competitive green industrial policy, CBAM entering force, and sustained volatility across policy, technology, and market signals – have made the framework's approach more relevant, not less. A second edition of the SIP Framework is in development.
Get in Touch
If you would like to find out more about how our solutions can help you achieve your net zero targets, or have questions regarding our approach, please contact us!
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